Ngomso Steel Price Forecast
Ukusuka kwimbono yangoku, i-Chengcai ilandela ngokuphindaphindiweyo ukunyuka, kwaye amandla awakanelanga.Inyathelo elilandelayo lisafuneka ibe kukuphunyezwa kokunciphisa imveliso yemarike kunye nokubuyiswa kwemfuno.Kulindeleke ukuba akuyi kubakho utshintsho olukhulu kwimarike yendawo kwixesha elifutshane.Iza kuhamba njani imakethi ngomso, jonga phantsi…
1. Izinto ezichaphazelayo kwimarike yensimbi zilandelayo
1. I-CCTV Finance and Economics Excavator Index ibhengeze ukuba izinga lokusebenza kwezixhobo zendlela ngoJulayi lifike kwindawo entsha enyakeni.
Kungekudala, "i-CCTV Finance Excavator Index" edibeneyo eyenziwe yi-CCTV Finance, i-Sany Heavy Industry, kunye ne-Shugen Internet ikhuphe idatha efanelekileyo ngoJulayi 2023. Ngokombono wamaphondo, ngoJulayi, izinga lokusebenza kwamaphondo e-7 lidlule i-70%.
2. Umbutho waseTshayina wabavelisi beemoto: Imveliso yemoto kunye nentengiso ngoJulayi zombini zinqabile inyanga nenyanga.
Ngokutsho kohlalutyo lwamanani e-China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, ngoJulayi, phantsi kweempembelelo zesiseko esiphezulu ngexesha elifanayo kunyaka odlulileyo kunye nexesha eliqhelekileyo le-auto market, isantya sokuvelisa kunye nokuthengisa kwanciphisa.
3. Ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuJulayi, imveliso yamalahle ekrwada yaseChina ibiziitoni ezibhiliyoni ezi-2.67
Ngokutsho kwedatha evela kwi-National Bureau of Statistics, ngoJulayi ka-2023, imveliso yamalahle e-China yayiziitoni zezigidi ezingama-377.542, ukunyuka konyaka-ngonyaka nge-0.1%;isiphumo esongezelekayo ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuJulayi ibe yi-2,671.823 yezigidi zeetoni, ukunyuka konyaka-ngonyaka nge-3.6%.
2. Spot market
I-rebar yanamhlanje: izinzile kwaye yomelele
Imveliso yeveki nganye ye-rebar iyaqhubeka nokuhla, uluhlu lwempahla lutshintshile ukusuka ekunyukeni ukuya ekunciphiseni, ukusetyenziswa okubonakalayo kunyukile, kwaye iziseko ziphucukile.Nangona kunjalo, iindaba zangoku zokuncitshiswa kwecala lomgaqo-nkqubo azikaqinisekiswa, kwaye ukulandelwa kusafuna ukuqwalaselwa.Kulindeleke ukuba i-rebar iqhube ngokuzinzileyo nangokuphakathi ngomso.
Umqulu oshushu wanamhlanje: phezulu kuluhlu olumxinwa
Kutshanje, ivuselelwe ziindaba zolawulo olucaba lwentsimbi ekrwada, uthotho olumnyama lomelele xa kuthelekiswa nexesha langaphambili, kodwa uxinzelelo kwizinto ezisisiseko zeekhoyili ezishushu lusekhona, kwaye ixabiso lezinto ezisicaba lilungiswa ngokubuthathaka phantsi kokwenyani buthathaka. .Uhlengahlengiso.
Ipleyiti yanamhlanje ephakathi: uhlengahlengiso olumxinwa
Okwangoku, i-inventory yamacwecwe aphakathi kunye anzima aqhubeka eqokelela, ukuchasana kwe-supply-side-side contradictions kwanda, kwaye ukuphakama kwe-rebound ye-plate kunyanzeliswa.Ukongeza, ulawulo olucaba kunye nomda wemveliso awukaphunyezwa, kwaye imveliso yentsimbi enyibilikisiweyo enesantya esiphezulu iyaqhubeka.Kulindeleke ukuba ipleyiti ephakathi ibe buthathaka kuluhlu olumxinwa ngomso.
Intsimbi yentsimbi yanamhlanje: izinzile nangaphezulu
Impembelelo yolindelo olukhulu kuluvo lwemarike yomeleziwe, kwaye amaxabiso akhoyo anyuke ngokuthe chu.Nangona kunjalo, imeko yangoku yee-odolo ezisezantsi kwi-strip steel ayiphucukanga kakhulu.Uninzi lweentsimbi zetsimbi zigcina imveliso eqhelekileyo.
Iprofayili yanamhlanje: izinzile kwaye yomelele
Ikhuthazwa yimarike ekhulayo kunye neendaba ezilungileyo zangaphandle, ixabiso leeprofayili liqalise ukunyuka kutshanje, kodwa ngokombono wemfuno yemarike, ii-mills zensimbi zonke ziyi-cyclical stock replenishment kunye ne-marketive speculative demand, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba iprofayili iya kuqhubeka. nqaba ngomso.
Umbhobho wanamhlanje: ukwehla okuphambili okuzinzile
Ixabiso le-Tangshan 355 strip steel lisebenza ngokubuthathaka, kwaye imeko yokuthunyelwa kwefektri yombhobho ayilungile.Okwangoku, uluvo lwentengiso luthande ukulumka, ixabiso lendawo lisaxhaswa, kwaye imfuno yentelekelelo yexesha elifutshane inokukhululwa ukuya kwinqanaba elithile.Kulindeleke ukuba umbhobho ophambili usebenze ngokuthe ngcembe ngomso.
3. Imarike yempahla ekrwada
Ibillet yanamhlanje: ukusebenza okuzinzileyo okwethutyana
Imarike yexesha elizayo iye yaguquguquka phezulu, iqhuba ezinye izibonelelo ukulandela intengiselwano, kodwa eyona mfuno yayinqongophele, iintengiselwano bezigxininiswe ikakhulu kwikhonkco lentelekelelo yorhwebo, kwaye isantya sokumbiwa kwebillet ezantsi sisacotha.Kulindeleke ukuba iibhilidi zetsimbi ziza kuhamba ngokuzinzileyo ngomso.
Intsimbi yanamhlanje: yomelele kancinane
Kutshanje, intsimbi enyibilikisiweyo isakhula, exhasa ukunyuka kwentsimbi.Nangona kunjalo, ulawulo olugudileyo lwexesha elifutshane lwentsimbi ekrwada lubangele ukuphazamiseka kwicala lokubonelela, kwaye ukuqhubela phambili kuye kuncipha.Kulindeleke ukuba abanini bentsimbi baqhubeke benyuka ngokuthe chu ngomso.
Icoke yanamhlanje: izinzile kwaye yomelele
Okwangoku, imeko yokufika kweenkampani ze-coke iphucula ngokuthe ngcembe, kwaye uluhlu lwezinye iinkampani ze-coke luye lwanda kwinqanaba elifanelekileyo.Unikezelo oluqinileyo lwangoku kunye nemfuno ye-coke iye yajika yaba yibhalansi, kwaye ukukhawuleza kokunyuka okubukhali akwanelanga.Kulindeleke ukuba icoke inyuke kancinci ngomso.
Intsimbi yanamhlanje: phezulu kancinci
Nangona umlinganiselo wolawulo lwentsimbi ekrwada uqhubeka nokubila, inkunkuma esetyenziswa zizingqusho zentsimbi ayitshintshanga kakhulu.Kuyinyani engenakuphikiswa ukuba ukubonelela kunye nemfuno yentsimbi ye-scrap okwangoku ibuthathaka.Intsimbi yentsimbi inyuke kancinci.
Intsimbi yehagu yanamhlanje: eyona nto iphambili inyuka
Zonke ii-ayini zeehagu zigcina imveliso eqhelekileyo, kodwa umdlandla wokufumana iimpahla ezantsi uhlile, kwaye noluhlu lwempahla lunyuke kancinci.Nangona kunjalo, kwixesha elifutshane, icala leendleko lisaxhasa ixabiso lentsimbi yehagu.Kulindeleke ukuba intsimbi yehagu iqhubeke inyuka ngokuthe chu ngomso.
4. Imbono ebanzi
Okwangoku, ukuphunyezwa kweemarike zokunciphisa intsimbi ekrwada kuhlala kubonakala.Kwixesha elizayo elingekude, luvavanyo oluphindaphindiweyo kuphela kwimarike eqhuba ixabiso lendawo ukuba lilandele.Eyona mfuno ikhoyo ngoku isebuthathaka.Nangona ukusetyenziswa okubonakalayo kuye kwaphakama, kusekho kwinqanaba eliphantsi kwixesha elifanayo kwimbali.Ukongezelela, imveliso yentsimbi etyhidiweyo ibuyele kwinqanaba eliphezulu.
Ixesha lokuposa: Aug-21-2023